Edge Of Tomorrow: A Pleasant Tom Cruise Surprise
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Congratulations, Ohio State - you’ve just completed back-to-back undefeated seasons. That’s very impressive, regardless of what anyone says about the Big 10 being a terrible conference; a win is a win, and undefeated means just that: you guys have been perfect for two seasons. That in itself is an amazing accomplishment - kudos to Urban Meyer, Braxton Miller, and the entire Ohio State team.
Now that the formalities are out of the way, Ohio State should want no part of the colossus that is Florida State University. The Seminoles would embarrass Ohio State, and it would be ugly from early on. This would not be a contest, and it would be unfortunate to put fans watching the National Championship game to sleep by half time.
This season’s Ohio State fan is the Notre Dame fan from last season. Remember Notre Dame fans from a season ago? They really believed they had a chance against Nick Saban and Alabama; like, they truly believed it was possible for them to go into Miami and leave there with a victory over the SEC juggernaut Alabama Crimson Tide. Then the game started and Alabama punched the boys from South Bend in the mouth early and often, and the game ended 42-14.
This is exactly what will happen again if the voters are crazy enough to allow Ohio State to play FSU in Pasadena on January 6, 2014. Don’t believe me? The numbers between both the teams this season should tell you it is going to be ugly.
Let’s compare quarterbacks first and foremost because the QB’s are the heart and soul of both teams. Jameis Winston is currently the Heisman front-runner, and with the numbers he’s put up this season, he should be. Winston has 3490 passing yards, 35 touchdowns, 8 interceptions, a 68% completion percentage, and a 91 Quarterback rating; the kid is on another level right now.
Braxton Miller’s numbers are not comparable: 1759 passing yards, 21 touchdowns, 5 interceptions, 65% completion percentage and an 85.2 quarterback rating. Those are decent numbers…in mid-October. I read a post this morning that after yesterday’s near loss to an under-rated Michigan team that Braxton Miller should re-enter the Heisman debate…unless the Big 10 has their own version of the Heisman trophy then that writer must have been related to Urban Meyer, or 12 years old.
Jameis Winston has six games this season where he’s thrown for over 300 yards, and another where he threw for over 250 yards. Keep in mind there were so many games that were out of hand by the 4th quarter that Jimbo Fisher pulled Winston. Braxton Miller has one game this season where he’s thrown over 250 yards - one.
The Ohio State fan will argue that Braxton is a dual threat quarterback and also uses his feet to do damage. That’s great, but how much damage is he going to do on a team that’s ranked fourth in the nation in total defense and gives 271 yards total per game? I have the answer for you: not well.
Florida State leads the nation in points against, allowing only 11 points per contest. On the opposite side of the ball, the Seminoles score 53.7 points per game and total 525 yards of offense. Where FSU gives up 271 total yards per game and is ranked 4th, Ohio state gives up 355 and is ranked 30th. Ohio State’s defense isn’t scaring anyone, especially not Jimbo and Winston. Ohio State gives up 20.3 points per game and ranks them 18th in the country, which is cute, but it’s not FSU-level worthy.
The numbers and the eye test should tell you everything you need to know about these two teams. Ohio State had close games with Michigan, Wisconsin and Iowa, and then a bunch of blowouts. All Florida State did was blow out teams this season; their closest game in months was their 37-7 beat down of the terrible Florida Gators on rivalry day. Only one opponent has lost to the Seminoles by less than 30 points, and that was Pittsburgh who lost by 28.
So, Ohio State fan, congrats on your back-to-back undefeated seasons, you’ve played some damn good football. But I will leave Ohio State fan with this. Both the Seminoles and Buckeyes play their conference championships next week; while both are winnable games, FSU plays Duke, and unless it’s their basketball team we are talking about, then there is nothing to worry about.
Ohio State on the other hand plays the number 10 ranked team in the country Michigan State Spartans. The Spartans allow even less yards than FSU does, 237 (first in the nation), and allow 11.8 points per game (4th in the nation).
So before Buckeyes fans think about the beating they’ll take playing the Seminoles in Pasadena in January, they better be focused on next Saturday against the Spartans. Unfortunately for Urban Meyer, Tim Tebow isn’t walking through that door. Good luck from this point on, Ohio State fan, because you’re going to need it.
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Garrett
December 2, 2013 at 7:51 PM
Irresponsible writing, and completely based off of speculation and conjecture. Your QB comparison? Atrocious, Braxton Miller missed 3 games this year. People who actually watch football know that. Then you talk about how terrible the Big Ten has been while being ignorant to the fact that the ACC is the WORST AQ CONFERENCE PERIOD (no, AAC doesn’t count). You say that the Florida game was the closest FSU game, when it was actually a 14 point game against Boston College. Florida St has not faced a running attack like Ohio St. Hyde and Miller both average over 7 yards per carry. Then you act like just because the yards aren’t there, OSU can’t pass. 65% completion begs differ. The Buckeyes can throw when they need to. This would be a high scoring game if it does happen. It will be close and a great game. You’ll be sitting around scratching your tiny little head.
S
December 2, 2013 at 10:38 AM
Your comparisons of Braxton Miller and Jameis Winston’s numbers are bias and not telling the whole story.
You forget that Braxton Miller missed 3 games at the beginning of the year. That would of put his number of TD’s up in the 30′s as well and his passing yards in the mid 2000′s. Also he his top 5 rushes for QB’s in the league despite missing the first 3 games with almost 900 yards.
OSU as a whole is #2 in rushing for the year with 321 ypg, FSU is 30th with 204 ypg.
So what does this mean to you? Well obviously as an author you are new to football, so let me explain. When you rush, the clock doesn’t stop, which gives you less game time to score points.
Did you see how Stanford beat Oregon? They ran the ball, ate the clock, and didn’t allow them to run the score up. This is how you beat high scoring offenses. For more examples, see the NFL.
Frantz Paul
December 2, 2013 at 10:53 AM
How are you supposed to beat a team running the ball and controlling the clock when you won’t be able to get any rushing yards on them? FSU allows 271 total yards per game. Ohio State’s main point of attack is rushing, which FSU would have no problem stopping. OSU’s bread and butter is not passing, and even in the strange event your team miraculously learns how to become a passing threat in a month’s time, FSY leads the nation in interception because their secondary is full of ball hawks and actual corners. Stop being silly fan boy and look at the numbers. FSU has a superior quarterback and defense. In the Big 10 that may not matter but in real world football those two things in tandem win championships.
S
December 2, 2013 at 12:05 PM
They allow 271 Yards per game against crappy ACC schools. No one FSU has faced has had a backfield like OSU’s.
The ACC is full of pass pass pass, and you are correct, FSU has a darn good secondary. This is why the YPG is so low.
I do think that FSU is probably the best team in the country, but they are not light years ahead of everybody else. It will be a good game. OSU’s weakness is the secondary, but OSU will score on FSU just as easily as FSU will score on them. It will be a shoot out.
OSU didn’t just learn how to pass the ball this month. They have been passing it great all year.
Carlos Hyde is the best RB in the country right now, he should be a first round pick and probably will be the first RB selected. He will wear out the D-Line of FSU just like he has on every D-Line he ran against. OSU will slow the game down, just like Stanford on Oregon this year, and just like OSU did against Oregon in the rose bowl a few years back.
The Oz Effect
December 2, 2013 at 2:11 PM
Its going to be a while before there is a RB taken in the 1st round. See Richardson, Trent and Morris, Alfred
The Oz Effect
December 2, 2013 at 2:11 PM
Its going to be a while before there is a RB taken in the 1st round. See Richardson, Trent and Morris, Alfred
Jake
December 2, 2013 at 9:47 AM
You make a valid point in much of this, but Boston College was the closest. Also, we can’t compare apples to oranges. We shall see in January. If people hate the system, then it should have been protested years ago, before it fucks a team over. Now everyone has to deal with it. OSU and ND get a shot, even if they don’t compare.
Frantz Paul
December 2, 2013 at 10:49 AM
Please don’t misconstrue my point, Ohio State is a deserving participant of the National Championship game. Two years of undefeated football trumps anything a 1 loss SEC team does.